Top 3 Ways: How to Influence People and Make Friends (and How Maslow Theory Applies)

Read this post in it’s original form on jare.cloud!

Do you need motivation? Learn how to influence people and make friends with this quick cheat-sheet, straight from the mind of someone who’s almost a narcissist!

No, wait, before you click off thinking ‘yeah yeah edgelord’ consider this: the people who know most about how to manipulate people are those with Cluster B Personality disorders – like narcissism or, in my case, anti-social personality disorder. You can read more about my various diagnoses here, and how I’ve managed to overcome most of the disadvantages of having the mind of a maniac.

Regardless of how you look at it, the act of influencing is indeed a form of manipulation. Your goal is to drive a result, and that result is making friends – and your means are all positive, helpful, and adding value. There’s nothing nefarious going on here, just a silly ‘bad word!’

1. Anticipate Their Needs

Image result for anticipate needs

Maslow’s hierarchy of needs teaches us that people require certain things in a certain order in order to achieve fulfillment or happiness. People worried about being bombed usually aren’t focusing on reaching their inner potential with the cello. If you can get a grasp on the evolution of someone’s needs, you can help them achieve these goals – and together, you’ll conquer more barriers faster. They’ll be grateful.

What is Maslow’s hierarchy? Click here to read my other article on happiness pyramids, and how they apply more generally and in first-world populations. In reality, everyone’s Maslow hierarchy of needs is individual and their own experiences, desires and barriers apply.

For instance, at school or work there might be subjects where you’re stronger, and the person or people you’re looking to influence might be lacking. In this kind of situation, you can lend your know-how in small and maybe even subliminal ways – if you lend a hand, chances are it’ll gain you some affection.

2. Create Opportunities to Share Time

couple spending quality time

This one is a no-brainer. A long time ago a friend was giving me her opinion of winning the affection of someone of her same sex, and recommended that I maximize the amount of time I’m around that person. The theory was if I was there more often, and able to talk and listen more often, then that person would become more attached to me and I would eventually become someone of more value to them. It was true!

Following Maslow, we could find or anticipate the activities these people or this person likes to or may like to partake in. We can recommend they join us – whether it be groceries or some other basic human need, or something higher on the happiness pyramid like chess club. Be creative! Everyone’s heard ‘want to join me for a coffee?’ but not many people hear ‘let’s go ziplining!’ that often.

The internet is awash with ideas on how we can spend more time with people to deepen friendships, or to spend more time with our partners. As with anything else on the internet: take what you read with a grain of salt, and apply your own reasoning and logic on the tips and tricks you read. It’s your life, remember!

3. Listen More, Speak Less

Image result for listen more speak less

This piece of advice is helpful across segments of anyone’s life. It seems that a generational problem we’re facing is that people will often listen enough to form an opinion and then – as if they like to hear their own voice – will interrupt, speak up and move the conversation off the original speaker’s point. Try to avoid this! According to Maslow theory, we can identify which of their tiers of needs are being met and what their more critical problems are. Someone trying to find housing is more concerned about meeting that basic need than they are about finding a partner. Focus on the problems that resonate with the person, and actively listen – find the points and passion in their story – and think before you respond!

Interested in how people with psychoses think? You can read a creative piece about symptomatic thoughts I authored here!

How to Build a Winning Tool for Sentiment Analysis of Twitter Data

See this post in it’s original form on jare.cloud!

Today, we’ll summarize my continued efforts to build a sentiment analysis tool. This tool is using the Twitter API to consume 97 different Twitter handles, that provide Crypto trading signals. This method can easily be applied to traditional markets – effectively capitalizing on new and highly lucrative means for trading stocks online. We’ll be reviewing the opportunities to add a neuro evolutionary AI to our bot. You can review the first iteration of this series on Twitter sentiment bots here on my blog.

When it comes to classical issues facing sentiment analysis applications, it’s important to consider how algorithms work. If we’re using a Natural Language Processing tool to rank the individual words in a phrase based on positive, neutral and negative sentiment, wouldn’t a product review like ‘All these wonderful new features! Although none of them work!’ confuse the machine? Words like ‘none’ are the true sentiment – being negative – but the overall feeling the programming gets from the message involve words like ‘wonderful’ ‘new’ ‘work.’ This would yield a false positive in the ranking and scoring of phrases.

What we need is a way for the computer to overcome this sarcasm in the tweets. Certain AIs are capable of establishing context by ranking sentiment, emotion and personality. We’ll then apply this when we analyze Twitter data. As Chief Liquidity Officer of Coindex Labs, I have access to a new and novel way to train datasets and apply resulting genomes on configurations – using an AI that’s naturally resilient to over-fitting.

AI has other advantages when it comes to sentiment analysis, like identifying unique opinions that may otherwise get re-hashed, re-worded, and delivered in a separate ‘original content’ tweet. This doesn’t really apply as much in our trading bot, as we’re limiting our input tweets to those 97 Twitter accounts, but with a larger dataset this is critical. To identify the true emotion of the Internet at large, we’d need a way to filter out people (and even computers) with accounts that are used to artificially manipulate people’s sentiment bots. It’s ‘a feint within a feint within a feint,’ as Muad’Dib would have said!

Once we’ve created our new model and use it to weed out the bad apples, our analysis of sentiment will be far more effective. As far as sentiment scores go, this tweet that my Twitter bot picks up on is ahead of the bell curve – but, on manual inspection, it looks as though it’s a joke rather than actual sentiment one way or another.

Entries like these should be ignored in the final product. I’ve toyed with the idea of human intervention before acting on a given signal, but the delays involved would mean that the average trader would miss 70% of the swing. Ideally, the bot would act on the ‘good’ signals within a matter of seconds or minutes – beating the overall shift in the markets when others pick up on the sentiment, before everyone exits. This is how the goldmoney is made.

This is what a profitable tweet looks like, and currently our win/lose ratio is far higher than 50% – combined with a creative trailing takeprofit, we can establish an edge on the market:

The next steps are to build out the AI’s training set with loads of tweets to run analysis on. These will then serve as a benchmark with which to apply to forward-testing data with live, real incoming tweets based on our followed list. Then, our evolutionary part of the neuro evolutionary AI will create competing sets of genomes with the different input variables, and the best-performing genome will become the champion set that runs the live trader. The next generation of genomes will then (likely, by and large) perform better vs the previous generation, and a new champion might be selected.

Are you more interested in how to automagically grow your Twitter following? Check out this article I wrote on consuming the Twitter API to hack your account’s growth! All in all, we have a clear plan for how our analysis of Twitter for fun & profit will continue to become more sophisticated and the win/lose ratio will increase significantly.

Maslow’s Hierarchy of Needs: Universally Applied (for 1st World Countries, anyways), Here’s a Wellness Pyramid!

View this post in it’s original form, on jare.cloud!

In a given Maslow’s Hierarchy of Needs you’ll find a tiered pyramid that starts with you being fed, and climbs thru safety then belongingness and love, esteem, and finally – at the highest tier – self-actualization.

A brief search on your favorite search engine will find images like so:

What I’d like to suggest is a Maslow Hierarchy for people in first-world countries: where we take safety for granted. What do we need in our Wellness Pyramid in order to be, well, well?

On our first tier, we’ll find rest and liquids. Any doctor worth his weight in gold (or bitcoin) will tell you that the tricks to becoming well are rest and liquids. Without sleep, we’d eventually turn insane and then die – and without water, we’d die within days. Days! Interested in bitcoin? Read here how you can turn your daily browsing into potentially hundreds of dollars a month – as advertisers pay YOU for viewing your ads, all the while blocking dangerous 3rd-party ads (like YouTube ads).

Stay hydrated!

On our next tier we’ll find the other stuff that medical professionals recommend for anyone, regardless of their physical or mental ailment (barring extremes, like catatonic schizophrenia): Exercise, and healthy diet!

We can control a whole bunch of our brains worst and best tendencies if we practice these two essential parts of our lifestyles. With proper and regular exercise we not only sleep better, but we feel better and we live longer. Fact! With healthy diet we can make sure that we keep our body’s needs in check and also feed our brains the vitamins, minerals and all that jazz that it sorely needs in order to think better, think more positively and think more often.

Now, to be well we need to be stress-free. The #1 way to be stress-free is to distract yourself: like to spend time with hobbies reduces stress, jobs, a gamenight with family or the internet’s world of memes and joy can all help you spend the time. These distractions give you little doses of dopamine throughout the day that you can expect and count on. Down this road also lies dangerous, negative solutions like drugs and alcohol giving you that same release – so take care, and try to surround yourself with activities that attribute to your overall success rather than detract from them.

What crowns our new wellness and happiness pyramid?

Fulfillment.

We’re all trying to be heard, to be cared about and to have an effect on someone’s life, way of thinking, or their own wellbeing – whether they be close to us, or the greater population at large. Some of us take up blogging – some of us, journalism – and some of us just want to make sure we have some kind of everlasting imprint on our kids, friends or other loved ones.

This is quintessential to your wellbeing and health when all else is taken for granted.

As you grow older, you may notice that your mobility and autonomy start slipping away. You’ll no longer be able to drive, to garden, to sing – and you may find yourself less and less responsible for other people’s schedules, days, and otherwise find yourself proving less and less of a use.

If you’re young now: enjoy your autonomy and mobility. Enjoy the ways in which you influence others and win friends.

If you’re getting older: try and find new and exciting ways to have an effect on the world (like blogging, writing a book, or otherwise expressing yourself in a low-effort way. Did you know you could speak to your internet browser, and have it type out what you’re saying? It’s called Speech-to-Text!).

Are you interested in blogging, or are you already blogging, but want to feel a little bit extra dopamine when you’re expressing yourself? Sign up for Publish0x as an author and get rewarded by people tipping you – the tips come from their own funds, and the tipper earns a custom % of the tip, too, so everyone wins!

And that concludes our Wellness Pyramid, a Maslow Hierarchy applied to everyone living where the basics are taken for granted!

A Plug (or Two)

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Some Recent Reddit Posts of Mine: Microtipping, the Future of Social Rewards, Driving Crypto Adoption, and Code for a 1st Party Ad Rotator

Microtipping: Future of Social Rewards?

With a minimum BAT tip of 1 BAT, there’s been some discussion around the interwebs of instituting a custom # BAT tip.

This would allow, as one user mentioned, the ability to microtip a fraction of a BAT at the same time they save a tweet for later – which would benefit everyone. Whereas, at present, a whole BAT might not be sustainable for each time I’d want to share some love – a fraction of a BAT would.

With Uphold as the present custodial license for holding and transferring BAT and BAT rewards around the Brave ecosystem, does this work super easily – comparing it to microtipping BAT on the Ether blockchain? Is Uphold off-chain, allowing any number of smaller transactions? Would future custodial solutions that aren’t requiring KYC allowing us to also microtip in this fashion?

Microtipping (along with the ease of use of the Tip function on social sites that Brave allows) would restructure the way people use (and think about) social interaction online.

+1

Example of Driving BAT and Crypto Adoption thru Responding to LinkedIn Promotion (since removed by mods)

Preface: Lisa was an outstanding connection request on LinkedIn I confirmed maybe 24 hrs ago. She has 10 mutual connections, and 500+ total.

  • Hi, I am Lisa, Web Development Manager and I work with experienced IT professionals who are into: * Create a New Website * Redesign a website? * Website Design and Development * Update Your Existing Website * E-Commerce Solutions If you are interested, then I can send you our Price list, company information and an affordable quotation with the best offer. Sincerely, Lisa
  • TODAY 1:33 AM
  • We are really looking forward to receiving your answer so that we can get to any final conclusion Best Lisa📷
  • Jarett Dunn 12:30 PM
  • Hey, no thanks!
  • Jarett Dunn 12:34 PM
  • To drive revenues, you should let your website proprietors know above Brave browser and BAT: https://jare.cloud/2020/01/15/better-web-brave-rewards-your-content-make-money-monetizing-twitter/ Since verifying myself as a Brave publisher a/o 4 days ago I’ve earned ~11 BAT ($2.20 USD) in donations to my different platforms. That might not seem like much, but for someone with a larger audience or following it can serve as an additional revenue stream. This is compared to my Medium.com earnings for the last ~12 days, at $1.80 USD.  As a Brave affiliate you can also earn up to $7.50 USD for browser installations that remain installed after 30 days. Since putting up that Brave article that I linked you to, I have 7 downloads and 4 installs – this could yield up to $30 USD in affiliate income, over 4 days of referrals so far.

Comment: I agree with u/O1O1O1O – because Brave rewards users with advertiser’s funds to then pay (or not..) their favorite content producers, then every user eventually has a BAT or a few to redistribute – and everyone wins. Brave also allows content creators/publishers of many times – theoretically any platform that includes an API where we can decide if one user’s view on a profile is for a specific other user. This discounts sites like Facebook, Minds, but is already beautifully connected on Twitter and here on Reddit. This is potentially far more views, far more publishers and far more ad spend than Medium.

In the next iteration of my 1st party ad service, I created Javascript code that randomly chooses one of two ads to display in the header of each of the pages on my blog. This Brave-friendly ad displays content about Brave or Publish0x. It also detects mobile displays and gives a smaller banner for mobile.

It’s genius in it’s simplicity. . . I half want to re-package this into a WordPress plugin for other Brave content creators on WP.

Here’s some code:

if (/Android|webOS|iPhone|iPad|iPod|BlackBerry|BB|PlayBook|IEMobile|Windows Phone|Kindle|Silk|Opera Mini/i.test(navigator.userAgent)) {

	var random = Math.random(1)

	if (random < 0.5){

	$('#masthead').prepend('<a href="[https://jare.cloud/2020/01/15/better-web-brave-rewards-your-content-make-money-monetizing-twitter/](https://jare.cloud/2020/01/15/better-web-brave-rewards-your-content-make-money-monetizing-twitter/)"><img src="[https://jare.cloud/468.png](https://jare.cloud/468.png)" /></a>')


}
	else {

$('#masthead').prepend('<a href="[https://jare.cloud/2020/01/20/publish0x-allowing-rewards-for-content-with-their-own-funds-re-distribution-of-wealth-defined/](https://jare.cloud/2020/01/20/publish0x-allowing-rewards-for-content-with-their-own-funds-re-distribution-of-wealth-defined/)"><img src="[https://jare.cloud/468-2.png](https://jare.cloud/468-2.png)" /></a>')	
}

}

else {

	var random = Math.random(1)

	if (random < 0.5){

	$('#masthead').prepend('<a href="[https://jare.cloud/2020/01/15/better-web-brave-rewards-your-content-make-money-monetizing-twitter/](https://jare.cloud/2020/01/15/better-web-brave-rewards-your-content-make-money-monetizing-twitter/)"><img src="[https://jare.cloud/728.png](https://jare.cloud/728.png)" /></a>')

}



	else {
$('#masthead').prepend('<a href="[https://jare.cloud/2020/01/20/publish0x-allowing-rewards-for-content-with-their-own-funds-re-distribution-of-wealth-defined/](https://jare.cloud/2020/01/20/publish0x-allowing-rewards-for-content-with-their-own-funds-re-distribution-of-wealth-defined/)"><img src="[https://jare.cloud/728-2.png](https://jare.cloud/728-2.png)" /></a>')
	}

}

})

Check it out: https://jare.cloud/

Check out this fellow Redditor’s extension of this idea: https://gist.github.com/thefallofbecause/26022a05836a2990d99df80b94494e34

7 Days Creating a Twitter Growth Service

See this post in it’s original form on jare.cloud!

Interested in a way to utilize Crypto Pump n Dump tweets – for fun & profit? Check out this article I wrote on making mad stacks on Twitter sentiment!

Day 1

I had a thought: if some of my traffic comes from Twitter to Medium and my blog, wouldn’t I want to maximize this – in a hands-free fashion? I’ve done this before – some of my accounts had 5k+ followers in a few months. I had bought a Google sheets templated sheet doc with Twitter integrations, and bam it flew. I later created a Github repo for a hackathon starter fork where I put in all these juicey follow, retweet, favorite logics into a prettier UI.

The benefit of the hackathon starter is that I can login via oauth – meaning the app has api keys, but the user does not. We’re all used to oauth login – do you want to login using gmail/facebook/twitter? Redirect to platform, redirect to site, success!

I resurrected my gsheet today and started the magic. I made some edits to the code: specifically we want to follow, retweet and favorite. Hooah!

Let’s set our benchmark…

Day 2

Well, we have some initial results! Twitter app on my phone has been blowing up. Let’s analyze the results so far…

We’ve gained 13 followers in 24 hours! That might not sound like much, but it’s a full 10.8% increase over where we were. Even better than that, the amount of followers vs the amount of people I’ve followed – an important metric on Twitter – has actually increased!

I did notice that the UI on Twitter wouldn’t let me follow people. This is dangerous, as if we try to follow too many people and get errors because our account is limited, Twitter may ban the account. We remove the follow directives, and increase retweets and likes.

Day 3

Wow! A further 12% increase in followers! Our ratio increased again, too. That’s fantastic news… I’m greedy now, and so I’m going to increase the retweets and favorites from one per search term per hour up to 3. This should accelerate this monster… let’s wait and find out!

UPDATE: 3/4 the way through Day 3, let’s take a look at results. Just because I hate waiting.

Well, that strategy appears to be working! No longer is my account limited, and also my followers increased a further 12% on top of the last 12% and 10% – an increase in rate. When we check in in another 6ish hours we’ll hopefully see that the data for the 18th reflect a massive increase.

What’s even better is that my follower vs followed ratio is increasing SIGNIFICANTLY. Because I’m no longer following people using the bot – although I did some manually, messing up stats – this ratio is now EXPLODING.

Twitter limits your ability to follow new people after you follow 5k, and if this ratio is too too deep then everyone will assume you’re digging for followers and your rate of follow backs will decrease. D’oh!

Day 4

Twitter: Free Money

Social traffic and engagements are literally free money if you monetize your visitors in any way, or put a dollar value on them.

Plus – we’ve seen a massive increase in both followers and the ratio! Booya!

Day 5

The followers and ratio continue their upwards trend, although slowing down…

Day 6

Oh! I know why my followed is still trending up. My code had a hard-coded ‘followback’ feature. Let’s turn that off!

Day 7

Looking good…

We’ve now accomplished the 2nd-highest daily increase in % follower/followed ratio. Hooah!

That concludes our 7-day adventure into automating Twitter engagements, for fun and profit.

We’ve seen an 85% increase – nearly double! In followers over 7 days, and 30% increase in follower/followed ratio. These are huge numbers, indicative of a healthy and growing Twitter following.

Learn how to monetize your new Twitter following with Brave Browser and BAT tokens! Better yet? It blocks all third-party ads! AND protects your privacy!

A Plug (or Two)

Join our growing Telegram community for blog updates, bot chat, general fun and crypto madness? https://t.me/ManyVolumeSignalMonster

Want to learn about new articles in tech and being a madman? Subscribe to my mailing list here: http://eepurl.com/gIykNL

The Two Ultimate Pieces of Self-Help You Need to Achieve Goals, Survive Life One Day at a Time

View this article in it’s original form on jare.cloud!

Introduction-ar-ily

In order to both survive and thrive we need to take everything with a grain of salt, celebrate the small things and get through the small stuff. 12 Step programs are keen on ‘one day at a time,’ but I want to offer up the only two strategies you’ll need in life (and I thank my mom for these bits of wisdom):

This Too Shall Pass and Onwards and Upwards

Image result for this too shall pass

Downs

If you feel incredibly down, in a valley in the peaks and valleys sense, or a depression in the bipolar sense – read all about the plights of mental health woes here in another article of mine – it’s most important to remember these two mantras. Sometimes the world deals us blow after blow, and it might be the worst few months you’ve ever faced – you might have lost a friend or a loved one, or a job or a prospect. Whatever the reason, how we cope with these kinds of situations helps define us as a person – without the struggle, we’d never appreciate the good that comes our way with as much of our hearts as we do.

This Too Shall Pass teaches us that no matter how bad it gets and no matter how bleak it might seem, there’s only up from here to go. It reminds us that we’ve been through worse – and we survived. We’re strong people, and even in the worst-case scenario we can always remember some other kind of time or even compare our experiences to those we see in media or read in books. People have gotten through these traumas.. so can you. It’s not meant to belittle or take away from your pain, but give you some solace in knowing that recovery is possible. You got this!

Onwards and Upwards teaches us to continue putting in the effort in order to see better manifest itself in our lives. Keep trying. Keep on swimming. We must be the masters of our own destinies and fates – leaving it up to The Powers that Be (your God, her Shiva and my Science) is taking the backseat and back burner to our own lives. You have to be the mastermind and the architect, the engineer and the manual labor in effecting your own change. Nobody else will do it for you.

Image result for onwards and upwards

Ups

What can these mantras tell us about how we should react to the mountains, as opposed to the peaks? The euphoria or mania that we sometimes experience when things are looking up? Sometimes we might get taken away by the rollercoaster of emotion that happen to us in the most joyous of times – whether it be Christmas, a new baby, graduating medical school or just an unbalanced amount of chemicals in your brain along with misfiring neurons. Whatever the reason, these sayings are just as powerful now as they were in our lowest of lows.

This Too Shall Pass lets us know that we can always expect the buzz and elation to eventually go away – and to prepare ourselves for more battles at a later date. It’s not meant to take away from the joy we’re experiencing, but rather to give us a sobering look at how to prepare for the coming days. We can always enjoy ourselves – and thoroughly – while still being ready for the future. An excellent example is in the honeymoon stage of new relationships: most of us have felt it, and some of us have ended up in a world of hurt once the pheromones wore out. What’s the lesson? Always have a steady head and try to remember the consequences of our actions and decisions, even if they were seen in a different light – by a later you, by your friends or family, or by society at large.

And when we think of Onwards and Upwards, we can remember that – on a scale approaching infinity – there is actually no limit to the amounts of joy and success we can fit into a day. When things are going super well it’s best to build on that momentum and see if we can make it even better, achieve more things or invigorate ourselves to do more, see more, be more than if we didn’t have that extra motivation. This allows us to keep pushing forward – as masters of our own success – and build the building blocks of a better, safer, happier future. Even if we consider the eventual trough or downturn in our internal state, we can lay the foundation and plant the seeds of further wealth, happiness and prosperity the next time we’re back on our uppers.

Finally

Remember – you are the master of the universe. You are the commander of your destiny. You are the sole reason you’re still here, and the sole reason you should keep on moving forward. This might be contrary to some of your beliefs, but at least try to read it and apply it in a way that works with what you believe to be true – the more active you are in your own life and your own situation, the more effect you’ll have – and the more of what you want will manifest. You can attribute these changes where you like!

Want to learn all about other ways to succeed, in a redefined version of the internet where the user wins instead of Big Publishers or Big Advertising Networks? Read all about the Brave browser here, which pays you to browse and pays you to produce content and protects all your privacy along the way!

A Plug (or Two)

Join our growing Telegram community for blog updates, bot chat, general fun and crypto madness? https://t.me/ManyVolumeSignalMonster

Want to learn about new articles in tech and being a madman? Subscribe to my mailing list here: http://eepurl.com/gIykNL

The Nash Equilibrium, Fomo3d, and Dangerous Game Theory

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Fomo3D was a dangerous game theory that was then applied, obfuscated, and raked in a sh#tton of cold, hard cash.

Users would sign up for https://exitscam.me/ and play the game. Their greed would ensure they always spent more than they lost in an auction that Harvard Business School teaches their pupils – it’s called a ‘War of Attrition.’

When offered the chance to bid on a $20 bill with $1, people will bid on it. The problem is this: the 2nd highest bid also has to pay whenever the winner is chosen. So, when the bid is $19 and the prize is $20, someone will surely bid to make a dollar. Now, when you’re the $18 bid you might lose your $18 if you don’t bid again – paying $20 for $20. If you win, you’re down $0. If you don’t bid, and lose now, you’re down $18.

What’s the person with the $19 bid do?

There’s been documented cases where the bidding reached a walloping $4000 – in a display of sheer ego. The loser was caught up in the ecstasy of playing the game.

That’s exactly what Fomo3D did, except the winnings were divvied up in a very smart way that wasn’t previously available to the general public: using an underlying dividend-paying or burning token (forget which) they cleverly increased the token value or delivered payments for token holders when people played the game.

This caused a huge social effort by token holders – and game players – to spread FOMO about the game around the internet. This would bring in new players and – occasionally – those who would even win or lose by ego, or win or lose because of the sheer thrill of the game.

Learning all of this tonight for the first time, I did a brief Google on ‘dangerous game theory’ and was actually learning about game theory for the first time in my life. Now, this shit is fun. And profitable.

I read about War of Attrition. What a beautiful concept.

The wikipedia article linked to a few other sources: Chicken, another dangerous game theory, has a fancy theory name – but it’s still chicken. When one veers off they lose, when both collide they both lose. We’ll examine opportunities here at a later date, but I also came across another interesting concept.

The prisoner’s dilemma is that two guys are caught for selling drugs, and both are facing 2 years for sure. The feds think they’re both involved in a much more serious crime, and tell Prisoner A that he’ll get 3 years if they both confess – but if he confesses, and Prisoner B doesn’t, he’ll get 1 year and Prisoner B will get 10. Now, if he denies and Prisoner B confesses, then he will get 10 years and Prisoner B will get 1 year.

What the feds don’t mention is the final outcome: if they both deny, they’re both faced with 2 years. This is what’s referred to as the ‘globally optimal solution’ – meaning that if I was able to talk to the other prisoner we might both deny.

What’s in my best interest, as Prisoner 1?

Well, it looks as though no matter what I do – without knowing the other party’s intentions – confessing is my best option. I either face 1 year – which is great – or three years. However, I’m completely avoiding the possibility that I might get 10 years – which is the worst-case scenario. Both of us confessing isn’t the best optimal answer on the board, but it’s what’s best without knowing the other party’s intentions – we call this the Nash Equilibrium, after famous mathematician John Nash. This is applied extensively to playing poker – where it applies just as much.

Nash was also one of the most famous schizophrenics, and the subject of the movie A Beautiful Mind. Want to read more about how people with schizophrenia think? Check out this article I wrote on psychotic thoughts (from first-hand experience!)

Now, if we flip these numbers to their inverse and do some jiggery pokery, we can come up with a profitable business idea for anyone to rake in huge amounts of capital from tokensales and giving people the opportunity to have fun – and potentially win big.

Say my risk is that I might lose all of my 2 Ether deposit on betting in this game. The funds are locked in smart contract. If I go with Option 2, there’s a chance that I could lose my whole balance or there’s a chance I might get 1.7 of my ether back. OK, good enough.

If I choose Option 1, there’s a chance I get 1.3 of my Ether back or – here’s the kicker – I might get 2.3 of my ether back (and ‘win’) should Player 2 choose option 2.

Logic would say that a rational person wants their chance at winning, and will always go with Option 1. Whereas, if both players do, then they both lose. Right?

So far this isn’t very promising as a dangerous game.

However, enter an oraclized call to a random number generator choosing 50/50 either option 1 or option 2, as player 2. Sure, this player would need to put funds up first in order to play – which might come from project funds or from tokenholders putting up the funds against people that lock up Eth in a contract – but check this out, here’s what would happen in Game 1:

Player 1 will always (rationally) choose option 1. The RNG chooses 50/50 options 1 or 2. In green/yellow are the possible outcomes for player 1: they either get 1.3 Ether if they lose, or 2.3 ether if they win. Now, no rational GAMBLER would play these odds – but, keep listening! There’s a 50% chance that the pot wins 0.7 Ether, and a 50% chance it loses 0.3 Ether. Fair enough, so averaging out our winnings that’s 0.2 Ether.

I’m going to take this Ether and add half to the game pot. The other half I’m going to use to give value to my game token – by buy n burn or dividends.

Let’s look what happens in Game 2:

Now we’re talking, we’ve sweetened the pot that the Player has a 50/50 chance of winning – with half the house’s winnings from each game before that reinvested back into the pot. There’s a chance they win – and pot doesn’t increase, no new token burn or dividends happen. There’s half a chance they lose again – and it’s added to the pot and increases the value of the token.

Etc etc tending towards infinity, the potential winnings for playing the game increase ever so much while they’re still losing 1/2 the time playing against the evil supercomputer.

3rd game? More money to be won! Eventually, the gambler’s odds increase enough to be a worthwhile bet no matter what – and the token’s value continues to increase with each average result of the game. This creates a frenzy of people spreading news about the game, drawing more and more people and money into the game.

What does this mean for me, penning this article? Even though I don’t have a smart contract developer or a budget, at least now I own the Intellectual Property on this new evolution of a Dangerous Game Theory smart contract game. If you are a smart contract developer and would like to team up, let me know! If I’ve made any critical errors in my math – it wouldn’t be the first time! Let me know!

Remember to join our Discord for updates on this project!

Top 4 (And Bonuses!) Reasons You Should Always Prepare for the Worst

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#1: You’ll Always be Pleasantly Surprised

This is actually a secret my mom taught me over and over again. If you expect the worst possible outcome in any given situation – love, relationships, family, work – then whatever does come to pass will certainly be better than your expectations!

In such a way, you’ll find little joys throughout your day and week. These little joys will create a sense of reward that you might not have had if you were constantly being let down by your own expectations.

Framing your world in a different light can have certain advantages – for those with very specific minds, you might lose touch with the ‘real reality’ and become a concern for your own self’s well-being. Read an article I wrote on how people with schizophrenia and mental health can actually think (from first-hand experience).

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#2: Emergency Preparedness Saves Lives

In a much more literal sense, being prepared for the worst will mean that you create disaster recovery plans – be they for the zombie apocalypse, should your car die and need repairs you can’t immediately afford, or if the lights go out for a day or two – having a plan improves your chances of getting through the scenario measurably.

This is so true that a brief Google search returns many millions islands (results, in Google English Pirate language) for ’emergency preparedness course,’ like this one at a Canadian university.

#3: You’ll Be Ready for Anything

Hand in hand with being prepared for the worst-case scenario, you’ll also be ready for all the other scenarios up and down the range of possible outcomes – from the best possible ones right down to what could potentially be the absolute worst. Because you have considered and somehow either counted or discounted each possible route, you will have a plan for accomplishing things regardless of how fate will twist your arm.

As you get more and more used to this mental exercise, you’ll notice that your breadth of perception will naturally expand – as you’ll be considering more ‘twists of fate,’ having added personal experience and the nature of the universe as it tends towards infinity. What I mean to say, rather, is that as the Powers That Be (whatever you subscribe to) throw new and unexpected curveballs your way, your brain will naturally plan for even more possibilities and outcomes. This will expand your mind way better than the hippie in highschool promised you Lysergic Acid Diethylamide ever could have come close to.

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#4: You’ll Achieve More Goals

Well, #3 was a bit of a doublethink mindfuck. What does it translate to, practically? Why should it be encouraging, rather than something to be afraid of?

In reality, creating new and interesting ways to approach problems will give you new and novel ways of conquering those problems. Your new disaster emergency preparedness attitude – when applied to everything – will allow you to accomplish more and more of your goals, more and more frequently.

This has a fantastic effect on your mindset, and overall happiness. If you do end up doing the things you set out to do more often than you do now, or even in fashions you hadn’t considered before, then you’ll have more and more dopamine for your pleasure centers – which means a happier, healthier you!

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Bonus: Win Friends and Influence Enemies

With a happier, healthier you comes a number of bonus effects – like a boost in charisma, confidence, ability. This truly is a snowball effect of positive outcomes.

When you present yourself better – or at least, more confidently – it results in people taking you more seriously, or appreciating you (or at least, your opinions and voice) more and more. This will allow you to gain more traction at work, home, and play.

It will allow you to harness your new-found powers of persuasion in two important ways. First, you’ll be able to befriend more people more frequently – winning their approval and allowing them to become proponents of whatever causes or values you subscribe to. Second, you’ll be able to exert your newfound influence over people who might detract from your causes or values – allowing you to gain more of a say over the people who would do you ill or harm (even just on the theoretical, intellectual level).

Did I interest you already about the ways in which a segregated, compartmentalized mindset can be a blessing – and a curse? Read my other article here on how schizophrenia increases your chances of an early end to your mortal turmoil (read again: it’s a fatal diagnosis. No, no joke!)

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Bonus (Voice of Reason!) #2: This Is Actually a Lot of Work

When you’re tasking your mind with so much data to consume and analyze, you’re actually spending a lot more time thinking about yourself and your surroundings, experiences and misconceptions an awful lot more than you are should you not be exercising this theory. This can translate to an awful lot of work – something that might end up tasking you to a point where it can do more harm than good.

Truly, if you become preoccupied by this exercise and it gets in the way of goals rather than helping them – or prevents you from performing at work, home, school, or anywhere – then it might not be worth the time that goes into it. As with anything, it’s good in moderation – and we should always exercise a good balance in our own minds.

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What are trade bots? Robot traders explained!

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Introduction

There’s nothing more enjoyable than trading for a living. You basically sit there, and exchange money for other things of value and then back again. Rinse wash repeat, and you can certainly support yourself taking small profits every so often – or heavier ones, usually less often!

Eventually, all traders will settle into a routine they’re comfortable with. They’ll build up an overall strategy of smaller strategies ranging in complexity and different input variables – from indicators to position sizing, there’s a lot to consider!

What’s important is that it’s easy to make a day’s salary in one trade, with very little investment. It’s also easy – probably easier – to lose your entire nest egg in that same day. Remember, invest only what you can afford to lose!

Let’s discuss a bit about the history of consumer-level trade bots, how trade bots can be used by near-infinite amounts of money by institutions, and how we can make money today using trading bots!

Historical Trade Bots: Expert Advisors

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Most consumer-level brokers over recent years have offered a universal integration for people to day-trade: it’s called MetaTrader, and most popular of the versions is MetaTrader 4.

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It included all sorts of handy features, and could trade anything you could imagine – from stocks and deriviatives to commodities and forex, it was easy to win or lose quickly and with a laugh or a tear.

One of the most important features you could find was the Expert Advisor. What this was was a way for users – or developer shops – to program their own strategies into the machine, allowing it to trade automagically. Even when you were away to the Caribbean or when you were sleeping – and markets were open – the expert advisor code would be watching, and reacting to the markets.

You could use all sorts of indicators – like directional ones like RSI, price ones like VWAP, volatility ones like EWMA, and the list goes on – and your own variables to manipulate the info and act on your strategies.

This bred a whole new world where people could show off or even sell their Expert Advisors to other people. This marketplace was soon fraught with scams and genuine people trying to help out – like any other capitalist venue, it’s as important now as then to always Do Your Own Research before committing funds to anything.

One popular scam was to employ a version of the Martingale Betting System. What this means is that when you lose a bet (or a trade), you double (or increase) your risk so then when you win the next bet (or trade) you earn back everything you lost plus a little extra that you’ve just now won. Then, when you bet again you start with the base amount again (or less, anyhow) and repeat the process.

This sounds genius – you’ll never lose!

In reality, probability works against you and the longer you play this game the more likely it is that you’ll see a large enough streak of losses to wipe out all your earnings. Neigh, even nations would lose when playing Martingale strategies – in roulette or in trading.

Eventually.

Probably.

What this looks like is a smooth chart with minimum drawdown right up until the end event where everything is lost. What this means for an expert advisor developer is that they can have a fantastic, promising looking chart – even when tested in real-time, with live funds – and they can promote that using their marketing budget to get many new subscribers.

End event!

I lost my money this way once with an expert advisor… I learned to not trust backtests, not trust test accounts and only trust my own forward tests – and remember the first rule: Only invest what you can afford to lose!

Anyways, loads of people earned great money on forex robot trades. Many people still do. You can, too, if you have a good strategy that can’t easily be duplicated and you maintain your edge over the market. Many more will make money on Expert Advisors, or other forms of trading automation.

Hooah!

Robot Traders at Scale: Wall Street

Image result for wolf of wall street

Movie theatrics and fiction aside, The Wolf of Wallstreet made all his money by manipulating IPOs that he then controlled a relatively large stake in at arm’s length.

How does one manipulate IPO prices? One trades. Using many accounts. One trades back and forth, and loses a bit on the fees and the spread but encourages other parties on the market to trade more and more and even influence the price – at just the right times in just the right increments – and voila, you’ve committed securities fraud but you’re mad rich!

In reality, most of Wall St probably aren’t committing securities fraud. Probably.

In reality, all of Wall St are using some form of trading automation and high-frequency trading to achieve their goals. Definitely.

By the time any sort of opportunity exists long enough to be traded against, 10s 1000s other parties employing your same or a very like strategy have noticed that opportunity and already traded it. In traditional markets.

How do you react? Be the first. Be the fastest. Poor tens millions dollars into developing faster infrastructure, faster code, and faster trades. Automation and delegation are the keys to success, no?

What this boils down to is that the consumer with their expert advisors and trading terminals on $500 computers instead of $500 000 supercomputers are beaten to the punch by Wall St at every turn.

Darn! All is lost!

No… Read on!

Most Profitable Automated Trades: Cryptocurrency

Where Wall St haven’t yet conquered the markets – even better: new markets are introduced daily – and where market discrepencies even across exchanges offer up opportunities for arbitrage (sure-bet, guaranteed profit.. look into it! Do your own research… or read this article I wrote, it’s about a retail arbitrage business – same idea! Buy low sell high!) and the execution times and volumes of big players don’t necessarily ‘own’ the markets?

Bitcoin and cryptocurrency.

Everyone has a fair chance in crypto to earn a dollar – even though the big boys still spend millions on their trading bots, the little guys control much more of the market share than vs Wall St and traditional markets.

Things like sentiment – feelings expressed on Twitter – have a massive, predictable effect on smaller-volume coins. Read about my Twitter sentiment bot I’m presently creating here (it’s fairly technical – but gives a good overview!)

All in all, it’s easier to make a quick buck with less capital on crypto – reliably, predictably – than it is in traditional markets.

You can try 3commas – where you can automate your favorite strategy, pull in a given strategy from places like TradingView, or subscribe to any number live automated trading strategies. For the win!

Conclusion

You, too, can earn with automation! You, too can create or hire someone to create your own trading bots – for traditional markets, or for cryptocurrencies! You, too, can feel that little joy and hit of dopamine when your trades exit in the green!

Go for it!

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Schizophrenia: Curse or Blessing? Death Sentence or Gift?

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With June estimates at 7000+ authors, 69 other Hackernoon contributors might also be a victim of schizophrenia, along with me. This article serves to demonstrate why these people are facing tougher-than-average odds to live to a ripe old age, and how society isn’t doing them justice in helping or finding a permanent solution.

Schizophrenia

Schizophrenia is the psychotic disorder that’s defined by losing control over your reality. If you start to slip into beliefs or experiences – auditory, visual – that others don’t perceive, you’re schizophrenic! There’s other qualifiers to the disorder, like having a certain frequency and total number occurrences of these thoughts – as well as a lack of other conditions which may otherwise explain these often terrifying and traumatizing thoughts.

What counts as an hallucination or delusion? A hallucination is an effect on your senses that others can’t perceive. You might see something that isn’t there, hear something in the distance that only you can hear – you might even perceive other people perceiving your hallucinations, which is a trap on it’s own because now your hallucinations are covering your other hallucinations. You can see how easy it would be to lose touch with reality when your own human mind makes up its mind to revolt!

A delusion is a belief in something, some thought or idea or pattern that nobody else can perceive. You might think the media is talking to you, telling you to do things in secret code. You might think that you are somehow special, be it superpowers or the fact that you’re President – these delusions can vary in strength and severity, and may even go unnoticed in some for years and years before causing any issues.

There are negative symptoms of schizophrenia, too – where the positive symptoms are qualities you’ve gained or acquired from the illness, like hallucinations or delusions – the negative symptoms are things that you’ve lost with the new mental state. These could be habits or behaviours like caring about one’s well-being (cooking, cleaning, self-care) or curtailing one’s hobbies due to lack of interest.

Prevalence

Schizophrenia affects 1% of the population, 1.5% of Americans and 1.5 million people were diagnosed with it this year. This translates to 300 000 Canadians, nearly 5 million Americans – verily, 105 million people around the world. Indeed, someone you know – more than one person you know – could very well be suffering.

Concurrent Disorders & Overdoses

Nearly half of people suffering from schizophrenia abuse drugs and alcohol. We call this a ‘concurrent disorder’ – meaning that drugs and alcohol abuse are occurring at the same time as the psychological symptoms that lead a professional to diagnose schizophrenia.

I bid you welcome to the first reason schizophrenia is a death sentence: 0.216% of the American population died from overdoses from 1999-2017 (with a noticeable trend upwards in deaths/year). Given that 9.4% of the population reported using illicit drugs in the last month:

Americans: 300 000 000
Drug abusers: 28 200 000 (9.4%)
Deaths / 18 years: 648 000 (0.216%)
Deaths / abusers: 2.3%
Abusers / schizophrenics: 50%
Schizophrenics: 5 000 000 (1.5%)
Abusers that are schizophrenics: 2 500 000 (0.75%)
Deaths / abusers that are schizophrenics: 57 500 (1.15% of # schizophrenic)
Deaths schizophrenics / deaths abusers: 8.88%

8.88/2.3: you are 3.86 times as likely to die from an overdose than the average drug abuser if you’re schizophrenic.
1.15/0.216: you are 5.32 times as likely to die from an overdose than the average person if you’re schizophrenic.

Suicides

The suicide rate for Americans is 0.014% when ‘adjusted.’

The ‘lifetime risk of suicide’ for people with schizophrenia is 4.9%.

Americans: 300 000 000
Suicides: 4 200 000 (0.014%)
Suicides / schizophrenics: 4.9%
Schizophrenics: 5 000 000 (1.5%)
Suicides that are schizophrenics: 245 000 (0.08%)

4.9/0.014: you are 350 times as likely to die from suicide than the average person if you’re schizophrenic.

I’ll let the numbers speak for themselves in this section.

Smoking Cigarettes

According to the CDC, 34 000 000 Americans smoke. 90% of schizophrenics smoke. 67% of smokers die from smoking, 474500 a year. Excuse the changing numbers here, in the previous calculation the 1.5% of schizophrenics was from the stat – and in this second calculation it’s divided into my guesstimation of total Americans, so 1.666%.

Americans: 300 000 000
Smokers: 34 000 000 (11.33%)
Smokers that die from smoking: 387600 (0.1292%)
Deaths / smokers: 1.14%
Deaths / population: 2 193 000 (0.731%)
Dead smokers / deaths: 17.67%
Smokers / schizophrenics: 90%
Schizophrenics: 5 000 000 (1.666%)
Smokers that are schizophrenics: 4 500 000 (1.5%)
Smokers that are schizophrenics that die: 63 000
Deaths schizophrenic smokers: 1.26%

You are 11% more likely to die if you smoke while schizophrenic than the average smoker.
You are 1.72x as likely to die in a given year if you smoke while schizophrenic than the average population.

Research

0.856 billion is spent on HIV/AIDS efforts a year, affecting 1.1 million Americans and 26 000 Americans die from HIV/AIDS each year. $147 000 000 000 is spent on cancer research a year and 609 000 Americans will die from cancer every year – 38.4% of people will or have had or do have cancer.

$74.65 is spent on research per person diagnosed with schizophrenia, $788.70 for HIV/AIDS per person and $1276.04 for cancer per person.

Seems a bit strange, no?

The Good News

While the debate of nature vs nature rages on – including scholarly articles with 1000+ citations, I firmly stand as a testament: nurture wins. Even when dealt with an incredibly bad – and incredibly rare – hand of cards, I’ve managed to change all the detriments of psychosis and sociopathy into benefits. In some degree or another, most of my symptomatic behaviors have indeed become some kind of tool for me to be more successful.

Hand of Cards

My current diagnoses include:

Schizo-affective disorder, which evolved from diagnoses of drug-induced schizophrenia and paranoid schizophrenia. Schizo-affective is ‘enough symptoms to be diagnosed schizophrenic but also with an underlying major mood disorder,’ in my case bipolar. Prevalence of schizo-affective disorder: 0.3% of general population.

I’m also diagnosed with panic disorder, which looks and feels very much like Post Traumatic Stress Disorder except without an actual logical trauma or trigger. It’s random, and fits in with the psychoses. Prevalence of panic disorder: 2.7% of general population.

A final diagnosis is much newer, and this one’s iffy. They discussed it, along with whether or not I’d like to be tested on the Autism spectrum, but never wrote down any of this discussion – leading me to think that my psychosis made up sociopathy. Irregardless, there’s nothing you can do to actually treat a personality type – so there’s no real point officially diagnosing it. However, it does explain a lot of my personality and some of my traits: Anti-Social Personality Disorder has a prevalence of 3% in men, 1% in women. On paper, it looks a lot like narcissism except less likely to think myself as special and more likely to discount social convention or norms, including things like paying back debts (whoops) or feeling a need to pay taxes (ha).

Advantages

Probably my favorite psychotic symptom I draw strength from is called ‘clanging.’ It’s a proclivity to rhythm or cadence, rhyming in speech. It gives me a very specific way of typing and writing that a certain kind of reader finds some poetry to – and it’s one of the main reasons I like hearing or re-reading my own content. This, in turn, is one of the reasons I push out as much content as I do. Content is king, and a regular contributor is more likely to gain a following and make a dollar doing this for fun & profit! Without the symptom, I’d do far less content. Bi-winning! My content here on Hackernoon and on other publications alone has led me to basically skip interviews and acquire employment as a founding member of a tech startup that has legs – read about Coindex Labs and how we’re building a money-making machine here.

What’s more is that a sheer depth and breadth of understanding and perception gives me insight into people, communications, arguments and perspectives that not many people have. This has led me to be a fantastic manager of people and stakeholders, balancing everyone’s opinions and underlying emotions better than the average Joe Product or Project manager. Even at a less stressful level, this allowed me to excel in call centers as customer & technical support – all the way throughout my career, conquering first technical account management and then later community management (especially in cryptocurrency). This one single factor has led me to be successfully employed in extended contracts that allowed me to be alive and thrive in ways I’d never thought possible when first wrestling through my diagnoses. When you live the lives of countless people you’ve never met, you start to become more attuned with everyone – by natural extension.

While some other symptoms really do prove to be a negative – things like losing an interest in my appearance, or upkeep of my surroundings – the real benefit here comes from challenging one’s own nature and making sure that the important thing that don’t seem so important are done anyways. If you can prioritize things in your life that you might not otherwise prioritize because it improves the mood and expectations of others, then you can apply this to then workplace in wondrous and effective ways. Sometimes, the mundane and repetitive tasks might make your role as a developer or manager seem daunting on a daily basis – but there’s probably a reason you were delegated these tasks, and I assure you it doesn’t go unnoticed – someone notices it. Conquering my deficiencies in the world around me has led me to be a pro at assuming more requirements and responsibilities, making me a more and more integral and critical cog in the overall mechanism. This quickly helps me add value. When I’m delegated something that could be automated I automate it and achieve double winnings with my time and effort. After all, delegation and automation (also: elimination. Don’t delegate or automate something that can just simply not be done!) are the keys to a 4-hour workweek (or any other measure of success).

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